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April 19, 2004
Gallup Poll: Bush Leads By 6

While it's still a bit too early to take polling numbers seriously, the new CNN/Gallup poll is remarkable given the attacks that the Bush administration has endured over the past few weeks:

President Bush's lead over Democrat John Kerry has widened a bit in a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll despite two weeks that have been dominated by a deteriorating security situation in Iraq and criticism of his administration's handling of the terrorism threat before the Sept. 11 attacks.

The survey, taken Friday through Sunday, showed Bush leading Kerry 51% to 46% among likely voters, slightly wider than the 3-point lead he held in early April. The shifts were within the margin of error of +/ 4 percentage points in the sample of likely voters.

The president's job approval rating was steady at 52%.

The pollsters attribute the lack of movement to a polarized electorate, but you may just as well say it's a disgusted electorate. With the President's approval rating holding steady, voters want a reason to change horses in the midstream of a war, and instead of reasoned discourse, all they get from the opposition is Bush hatred and a candidate who can't give a straight answer on almost any issue.

This is what John Kerry and the Democrats have so far failed to understand. It's not enough to sell yourself as the anti-Bush; you already have the 40% of the electorate that will decide their vote on that basis. Kerry has to give people a reason to vote for him, not just against George Bush. Until he does, he'll continue to lag behind Bush all the way to November.

Sphere It Digg! View blog reactions
Posted by Ed Morrissey at April 19, 2004 6:14 PM

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