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While it's still a bit too early to take polling numbers seriously, the new CNN/Gallup poll is remarkable given the attacks that the Bush administration has endured over the past few weeks:
President Bush's lead over Democrat John Kerry has widened a bit in a USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup Poll despite two weeks that have been dominated by a deteriorating security situation in Iraq and criticism of his administration's handling of the terrorism threat before the Sept. 11 attacks.The survey, taken Friday through Sunday, showed Bush leading Kerry 51% to 46% among likely voters, slightly wider than the 3-point lead he held in early April. The shifts were within the margin of error of +/ 4 percentage points in the sample of likely voters.
The president's job approval rating was steady at 52%.
The pollsters attribute the lack of movement to a polarized electorate, but you may just as well say it's a disgusted electorate. With the President's approval rating holding steady, voters want a reason to change horses in the midstream of a war, and instead of reasoned discourse, all they get from the opposition is Bush hatred and a candidate who can't give a straight answer on almost any issue.
This is what John Kerry and the Democrats have so far failed to understand. It's not enough to sell yourself as the anti-Bush; you already have the 40% of the electorate that will decide their vote on that basis. Kerry has to give people a reason to vote for him, not just against George Bush. Until he does, he'll continue to lag behind Bush all the way to November.
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