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April 11, 2005
CTV: Liberals Melting Down In Polling

CTV announced the results of a new Ipsos poll this evening, taken after the release of Jean Brault's previously-embargoed testimony, which shows the Liberals trailing the Tories nationally for the first time in years. Martin's Liberals have dropped to 27%, falling another 10 points since the last Ipsos poll:

The flames of political discontent from the sponsorship scandal are scorching the Liberals, and now a new poll shows the party's national support falling to 27 per cent.

That represents a 10 percentage-point drop in the past two months, according to an Ipsos-Reid poll conducted for CTV and The Globe and Mail.

The Conservatives are up to 30 per cent, a four-point rise. The NDP are at 19 per cent. ...

Ominously, 45 per cent of Canadians say the Liberal government of Prime Minister Paul Martin has lost its "moral right" to govern.

The poll is just the latest development in five days of hell for the Liberals, who have been seen their numbers sag in other polls, are under constant Gomery-fueled attack by the opposition -- and are now hearing stories that some of their caucus members are considering defecting.

The Liberals "are not just panicked, they're freaking out," said Bob Fife, CTV's Ottawa bureau chief.

The Conservatives have steadfastly held off on calling for a no-confidence vote, preferring to allow events to run their course before triggering a new election. With more explosive testimony expected at the Gomery Inquiry and the resurfacing of the Earnscliffe allegations, the Tories may believe that a perfect political storm has yet to completely coalesce. Like any other gamble, don't expect the players to change strategy until their run ends.

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Posted by Ed Morrissey at April 11, 2005 11:06 PM

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