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January 25, 2007
The Silliness Of Early Polls

One of the topics we will discuss tonight on my regular-schedule debut of CQ radio at 9 pm CT will be the GOP slate of candidates for the Presidential nomination in 2008. Time Magazine did some early polling, and they see John McCain edging Rudy Giuliani for the ticket. These are early polls, and the numbers will shift widely over the next year, but some things will remain the same ... such as the silly questions pollsters will ask prospective voters:

If the election were held now, Rudy Giuliani appears to have the support of the greatest number of respondents of both parties, with 56% indicating they would "definitely" or "probably" support him — followed by Hillary Clinton (51%) John McCain (50%) and Barack Obama (50%). But Clinton has a strong edge when the question is which presidential candidate people would most like to have over to their homes for dinner. The former First Lady led the dinner-invitation field with 26%, while Obama and McCain tied for second place at 15%. But with the New Hampshire primaries a year away, the the four leading contenders all have some work to do: Obama in making himself better known, Clinton in making herself better liked, McCain in matching Giuliani's appeal to Democratic voters, and Giuliani in landing more invitations to dinner.

I wouldn't mind having any of them over for dinner, but the election isn't Top Dinner Guest. Who writes these questions?

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UPDATE: Interesting show, with good callers like Sean Hackbarth, NZ Bear, and Frank Secreto. The RSS feed for CQ radio is here.

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Posted by Ed Morrissey at January 25, 2007 8:33 PM

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