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January 25, 2004
New Hampshire Prediction

Because I did so well predicting the Iowa Caucuses (ha!), I'll take a whack at New Hampshire to see how badly I can humble myself:

Kerry: 28%
Dean: 24%
Edwards: 19%
Clark: 15%

All four will get delegates, Dean will claim rebound momentum, and Edwards will remain alive for South Carolina. Clark's campaign will begin to stall out, but he will stay in the race. Lieberman will withdraw, along with Kucinich if the Ohioan manages to get a moment of lucidity.

UPDATE: Other bloggers are starting to line up as well. Check out the predictions at the Evangelical Outpost, who managed to predict an upset in Iowa. He's predicting a solid Kerry victory by 15 points. (Gulp!) Dan at California Yankee agrees with me on the order, but he's not predicting percentages ... wise man that he is. He's got tons more links to blog predictions. The Commissar at Politburo Diktat thinks that Clark will win -- which makes me wonder what the Politburo's been smokin' over there. He's either brilliant or joking, and the best part is that he can claim either one on Wednesday. Oh, and don't forget to check out the Commissar's entry in the MoveOn ad contest.

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Posted by Ed Morrissey at January 25, 2004 9:40 AM

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» More New Hampshire Predictions from CALIFORNIA YANKEE
The blogosphere predictions for Tuesday's New Hampshire Primary are starting to be pulled from those crystal balls. We will start with those bloggers who correctly predicted Kerry's Iowa victory: Nick, at Anti-Climacus, reserving his right to change hi... [Read More]

Tracked on January 25, 2004 11:29 AM

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Well, we've arrived on the eve of the New Hampshire Primary.

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Tracked on January 26, 2004 3:07 AM

» New Hampshire Predictions and Simulblogging Plans from
Here's my fearless prediction for tomorrow's New Hampshire vote: Kerry beats Dean narrowly (4 points or fewer), followed by Edwards who just slips past Clark for third place. Lieberman finishes 5th and is out within a day or two. My [Read More]

Tracked on January 26, 2004 3:04 PM

» New Hampshire Predictions from Backcountry Conservative
I'll actually make a prediction on this one: 1. Kerry, 2. Dean, 3. Edwards. I'll also post other predictions in this space. Link your prediction to this post, send a trackback or add the link in the comments below. Other... [Read More]

Tracked on January 27, 2004 12:14 PM

» New Hampshire Prediction Results from CALIFORNIA YANKEE
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Tracked on January 28, 2004 4:42 PM

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