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Via the Ace of Spades, the AP reports -- buried so far in another story that you need an exhumation order to find it -- that Gallup will announce tomorrow that Bush now leads Kerry nationally by 14 points:
A new poll from the Pew Research Center said the "bounce" that seemed to propel Bush to a lead just after the Republican convention had disappeared. But he was ahead by double digits in another survey.
The Pew poll found the race at 46-46 among registered voters, and 47-46 Bush among likely voters. A Gallup poll being released Friday has Bush up 54-40 in a three-way matchup, with Ralph Nader at 3 percent.
We'll see what Gallup's methodology is tomorrow so we can determine how seriously to take this latest result. Having a pollster with Gallup's stature come out with a fourteen-point gap in mid-September has to rock the Democrats, who have been caught up, Pauline Kael style, in their own Bush-hating rhetoric. Suddenly their candidate has fallen to the bedrock of their support at 40%, meaning that he is now attracting virtually no independents and moderates.
Interesting, though, that the AP chose to bury that information in the nineteenth paragraph of an analysis of the political fallout from the Iraq War.Sphere It View blog reactions
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