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October 16, 2004
Zogby Daily Tracking Poll Still Has Bush Ahead By Four

After yesterday's interesting Zogby poll results showing a post-debate Bush bounce, I was curious as to whether that would prove anomalous, a one-day polling outlier from a pollster known for such results. So far, however, their polling shows Bush maintaining his four-point lead over Kerry, demonstrating that the final debate damaged Kerry despite the pundit spin afterwards:

Three days after the final presidential debate, President Bush retains his four-point lead over Senator John Kerry, according to a new Reuters/Zogby daily tracking poll. The telephone poll of 1211 likely voters was conducted from Wednesday through Friday (October 13-15, 2004). The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.

Pollster John Zogby: Bush led by 4 today [Oct. 15th] -- the first full day sample after the debate. Kerry gets 81% of support among Democrats while Bush gets 14%, but Bush gets 92% among Republican to Kerry's 5%-- and, of course, the two are tied among Independents and also Catholics."

Today's tracking comprises an average of polling results from three days, two of which now are post-debate but mostly pre-Mary Cheney fallout. While the Kerry campaign tries to play defense regarding Kerry's debate remarks and Elizabeth Edwards' post-debate "shame" comment, the polls likely will wind up moving even farther towards Bush.

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Posted by Ed Morrissey at October 16, 2004 10:12 AM

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» 2004 Election: State Poll Anlysis #10 from Secure Liberty
This is the tenth in an exclusive series, presenting Tony Bauco's analysis of a wide number of state polls. Here are the results for October 15. Here are Tony's comments: Lots of new polls from Strategic Vision and Survey USA among others today. I... [Read More]

Tracked on October 16, 2004 3:10 PM



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