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September 15, 2005
Dafydd: One Quick Roberts Prediction

One fast prediction, and I'll update this post when the vote occurs to either take a bow or eat my words!

I predict the vote in the Senate Judiciary Committee is going to end up with all in favor, Republican and Democrat alike, with only one dissent: Ted Kennedy.

Well, what do you all think?

UPDATE later that same day: I think I need an explanatory update even before the vote. I don't predict they'll vote for Roberts because he's won them over; my prediction is that they see the mene mene on the wall -- and they'll vote for him in order to give themselves some credibility for mounting a filibuster against the O'Connor replacement. I base the prediction on the fact that both Biden and Schumer have already given interviews in which they praised Roberts to the skies and said he was about the best nominee of either party they've ever seen come before the J-Com.

I just don't think they would say that much -- and then vote against the guy. They would look worse than partisan; they would look like weirdos.

The reason I gave them Kennedy is that I think he'll be too iconoclastic (or perhaps too inebriated) even to notice that the rest are voting for Roberts.

Again, I'm just talking about the Judiciary Committee. It will be a different matter on the floor, but I think Roberts will get 75 to 80 votes there.

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Posted by Dafydd at September 15, 2005 9:48 PM

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