We now go to background with key Republiscan strategists on polling. The numbers look better than reported in the press. The exact numbers are off the record, but they certainly seem compelling -- as long as the data doesn't put you to sleep. The GOP has had success over the Democrats in keeping their base happy, and the election will once again hinge on turnout. Even on specific issues, the numbers have recovered since the latest effort to get the news out to the GOP base. Alito has also gained respect from Americans on Alito, at least until today's hearings start.

Summary --

Pros: Solid base that has grown
Fewer ticket splits
Stronger confidence on issues

Cons: Voters want change
Low presidential approval (although improving)
Low Congressional approval

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