The Jack Abramoff probe may turn on the same Democrats who tried exploiting the scandal for electoral advantage this year. ABC reports that federal prosecutors have taken statements from the disgraced lobbyist that implicate, in Abramoff's words, "six to eight seriously corrupt Democratic senators":

Convicted lobbyist Jack Abramoff is scheduled to report to federal prison tomorrow, over the objections of federal prosecutors who say they still need his help to pursue leads on officials he allegedly bribed.

Sources close to the investigation say Abramoff has provided information on his dealings with and campaign contributions and gifts to "dozens of members of Congress and staff," including what Abramoff has reportedly described as "six to eight seriously corrupt Democratic senators."

The sources say Abramoff was about to provide information about Bush administration officials, including Karl Rove, "accepting things of value" from Abramoff.

The Rove mention seems a little odd. After all, Rove has no legislative power, nor any direct impact on policy or spending. Abramoff may well have provided Rove with some gifts, but what would Rove be able to get Abramoff in return? He could have acted as an entree to Republican lawmakers, but that's hardly illegal, and from all of the evidence we have seen, Abramoff hardly needed any help in throwing money at Senators and Congressmen.

So who could Abramoff have been referencing? Well, the first guess would be the new Senate Majority Leader, Harry Reid. CQ has covered Reid's connections to Abramoff and his clients in detail in the past:

June 2005: Abramoff Was Ecumenical In His Lobbying, It Seems

This is when we first found out how much money Abramoff directed to Harry Reid, as well as to his predecessor, Tom Daschle. Both received in excess of $40,000 from Abramoff clients. Abramoff also hired Edward Ayoob as one of his lobbyists, stealing him from .... Harry Reid, for whom Ayoob worked as a legislative aide. Ayoob also conducted a fundraiser for the new Majority Leader in Abramoff's offices.

November 2005: Haven't Heard About Abramoff In A While?

In that post , I reviewed the evidence that Reid conducted at least two interventions on behalf of Abramoff clients that closely coincided with $10,000 in donations. We also found out that Reid received more than $66,000 from Abramoff clients between 2001-4.

February 2006: When Harry Met Jack

The AP, which has done a good job of covering Reid's Abramoff connections, revealed that Reid intervened on at least five occasions for Abramoff clients. He collected donations from them "around the time of each action."

I don't think that there's any doubt that Reid will be one of the lucky six to eight Democratic Senators smoked out in this prosecution. The question will be who the others are or were. If enough of them sit in the next Senate, the Democrats may find themselves in trouble for holding their majority. If Reid has to leave, the Governor of Nevada would have to appoint his replacement ... and Jim Gibbons just won the seat for the Republicans.

UPDATE: Allah's got the roundup.

UPDATE II: John Hinderaker counsels some skepticism on whether Abramoff has anything at all. It's not a bad point, but with Ney pleading guilty to the Abramoff-linked charges this fall, we've at least seen something besides smoke.

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