May 6, 2007

Is It Sarkozy? (Update: Yes, It Is)

It appears Nicolas Sarkozy has won the French presidential election today, as results have leaked to various media groups and to the gathered supporters of the French center-right candidate. Meanwhile, the mood at his opponent's headquarters has turned grim, which indicates that the results have leaked to both sides:

Supporters of Nicolas Sarkozy erupted in cheers Sunday, celebrating unconfirmed reports of a resounding victory for the rightwinger over Socialist Segolene Royal in France's presidential election.

After a day which saw a huge voter turnout at the climax of the hardfought campaign, supporters chanted "we won!" at a Paris concert hall where Sarkozy was to deliver a speech after the official results were given.

The mood was grim at the Socialist Party headquarters where about 300 Royal supporters waited.

French law forbids the publication of projections until the last polling stations close at 1800 GMT although the figures are distributed to media and party headquarters up to 90 minutes in advance.

Royal's followers sensed defeat in the final days of the campaign. Polling showed Sarkozy well ahead of Royal for the runoff election, with independents leaning towards the Socialist but not in numbers large enough to win. Her allies began to warn of massive riots from the banlieus if Sarkozy defeated Royal, and the threat has French police on alert in the Muslim immigrant neighborhoods.

Of course, part of the reason Sarkozy won -- assuming he did -- is because of the continuous violence occurring in the Muslim ghettoes. Cars burn on most nights, and it no longer makes headlines unless the count gets above 200 or so. The obvious cultural disconnect, along with the moribund French economy under Socialist policies, has created a shift in mood for the French. Sarkozy campaigned on the need to ditch the 32-hour work week and to make the business climate more friendly to investment and entrepeneurs, and he has apparently struck a chord with fed-up French voters.

Fausta has links to more coverage of Sarkozy's apparent victory.

UPDATE: Oui - c'est Sarkozy. He beat Royal convincingly, 53%-47%, in an election that had an 85% turnout. He takes office from Jacques Chirac in ten days, and then starts working on his slate of reforms:

After legislative elections in June -- in which he is banking on a clear majority for the UMP and its allies -- he plans a special session of the National Assembly to push through the first stage of his reforms.

These include the abolition of tax on overtime, swingeing cuts in inheritance tax, a law guaranteeing minimum service in transport strikes, and rules to oblige the unemployed to take up offered work.

On the social front he has pledged minumum jail terms for serial offenders and tougher rules to make it harder for immigrants to bring extended families to France.

The unemployed will have to take jobs if offered them? Sacre bleu!


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The French vote for president today in perhaps the most significant election since the end of World War II. Their choice is stark: on the one hand, Socialist Segolene Royal promises not only to continue the policies that have provided [Read More]

Comments (15)

Posted by unclesmrgol [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 12:45 PM

I feel sorry for France. According to his opponent, this is a signal for socialists to go on an orgy of destruction. Given the French response to the riots in the banlieus, the socialists will have free rein.

Posted by RBMN [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 1:34 PM

Any country where even the street performers have a socialist labor union is in bad shape...oh what the's doomed.

Posted by Bill Faith [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 1:59 PM

FOX News is reporting that Royal has conceded defeat. It's gonna be a long night in Paris.

I excerpted and linked at Sarkozy Wins. Riots at 11.

Posted by msr [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 2:06 PM

Isn't that supposed to be "ditch the 35-hour work week"?

Posted by ordi [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 2:12 PM

This news must be a bummer for Hillary. I am sure she was counting on Segolene Royal to start a trend.

Posted by aynrandgirl [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 3:20 PM

Royal's threat was, obviously, intended to be extortion. Thankfully it didn't work. We shall see if Sarkozy actually implements are more pro-US, anti-Islam, anti-corruption stance. France was a big player in Oil for Food, is still trading with Iran, and despite the riots and vandalism remains on a path that ends in its surrender to Islam.

Posted by Carol_Herman [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 3:44 PM

53% is called a huge lead! (Well? All ya need, then, is 50% PLUS ONE. But the extra keeps the theives at bay. And, gives ya more honest accounting.)

But what eise do you see? France had an ultra-high turnout. And, to get here? There was a previous election to narrow the field down from ten. To the two at the top.

Also, Parliaments are houses ruled by the winning party; where everyone else DOESN'T GET a Cabinet Car; and all the perks that go with office. When your fella is IN office.

Sarkosy? Says he's for "climate change." Which is just one way to grasp your oponent from having a stupid message. Where you can tax the middle class better, here, than with any other tax hammer. And, where there's no scientific arguments of merit, presented. Do you know why? Well, "concensus" and scientific approach are anathama to each other. When you hear "concensus" you know the academics lining up to suck at the taxpayer trough.

No. They won't find the cures to anything, either. Heck, both Jonas Salk, and Rabin, were refused March of Dimes grants. That's just how it is. When polio got clipped, and held at bay with childhood vacinations? The Dime collectors went for birth defects. Well, they're looking to take money from you. And, they want to hit your sympathy buttons.

Yes, it's somewhat better to have a conservative frenchman in office. You'll notice that they have 8.5% UNemployment. Coming more from their African population; than the whole. Because the best and brightest go elsewhere with their talents. And, this is called Brain Drain. It's not showing up on the ledgers, though.

Ah, yes. Hillary. She doesn't even come close to Roya's ability to poll well in the beginning. So, I agree. Americans aren't ready for a woman in the White House. And, Hillary is no Margaret Thatcher! Well, Royal isn't, either.

As to "riots" ... I just wonder how Paris defines those, now. Since the police DO NOT GO INTO the area of the slums. And, "yoots" with cans walked-about last night and ignited 30 cars.

Here? A poor guy who ran out of gas, would take his life in his hands, toodling about to go to his car; can exposed for all the world to see. If we were getting car burnings every night. The french, I guess, haven't learned how to "cement in" the way we do. In South Central LA. And, Overton. Down in Miami, Florida. Don't know if those places grow more mosques, though?

And, yes. The nature of democracy is to see splits between groups. So the "talk" is that Sarkozy's win "halps" mend fences.

While in the next 100 days? His most intractible problem are the french unions. And, their propensities to strike.

Here? Good to remember we're a huge country. Detroit, before it failed at having life, was a strike riddled town; left barren of jobs, these days. Where other states thrived. Passed "right to work" laws; and the jobs followed the sun, too.

Winning is one thing. Solving deeply imbedded social problems is another breed.

Doesn't mean it can't be done. The Israelis live surrounded by arabs. Not just outside their borders; but all over the place.

How so? As my cousin explained, their neighborhoods are mixed. (That's why our districting method of getting congress critters to the Congressional HOUSE won't work. Instead? The crap is selected by "committee.")

Soon? We're gonna get "weather is created in America," by committee. It's as if the Nietzche label isn't good enough. The confusion will be to blame us for God's work. While they have only 'deconstruction' ... so there's no gods in their universe.

Still plenty of splitting and spitting going on.

But the good news really is Sarkozy really wins. It's time that kleptomaniac jerk, Chirac, left office. (I bet the walls will be bare.)

Posted by Only_One_Cannoli [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 4:42 PM

Je blâme la Rove. Ce bâtard de rat.

Posted by Mwalimu Daudi [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 6:40 PM

Nicolas Sarkozy wins. Whee. I have not been this excited since Ahnald was elected governor of California.

Of course, it still means that the anti-Bush anti-American Royal lost. Hmmm ... a trend in the EU caliph? The anti-Bush anti-American Schroeder lost in Germany, and the anti-Bush anti-American Spanish Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero is on increasingly shaky political ground. Across the pond the anti-Bush anti-American Kerry lost in 2004 and the anti-Bush anti-American Paul Martin lost in Canada in 2006.

Being an anti-Bush anti-American Kool-Aid guzzler ain't what it used to be. Perhaps that explains the recent Newsweak bogus poll - gotta keep that spirit up.

Posted by DCM | May 6, 2007 8:03 PM

Don't get too excited. A conservative FRwenchman is just a centimeter left of a US demowit.

He said the US could count on France's friendship, but urged Washington to take a lead in the fight against climate change.

So, a little better, but not much. Plus he's going to be busy trying to keep Paris, th eCity of Lights, from becoming Paris - theCity of Burning Cars.

Posted by Carol Herman | May 6, 2007 8:09 PM

Perhaps, it's better to explain the Sarkozy mandate by showing that he collected a SIX POINT LEAD. Or "spread." Since there is not 50/50 ... even when you're sailing the ocean blue. And, your ship sails over the midway point.

It's a great showing for a more rational approach to french politics; which always manages to slip down to the gutter, anyhow.

And, the problems are wickedly hard to solve. Let alone that Sarkozy says he wants the UNEMPLOYMENT figure to go down, below 8.5%. To 5%.

Where the biggest hurdle in france is the attitude that you get "a job for life." Even Japan went out of that business.

But honeymoons end.

What's the best, though, is to realize that once in office, the french tend to hold onto their seats. Heck, Chirac just got a full 12 years. While in this country? Presidents, now, get two. Because of FDR's lock on the White House.

Now? Doesn't seem to have any locks on its doors.

As to how 2008 turns out; it will go to the party that figures out it needs an appealing candidate. And, not just one that bends to the right. Or the left.

Given how much information we know have, over the years, since Kennedy got shot. And, most Americans aren't very pleased with the jobs done by those who do get into office.

In listening to the HOUSE OF BUSH / THE HOUSE OF SAUD, I am being reminded how the "cut-out's" worked. Where Saddam got chemical and biological weapons, back in 1985 to 1988.

Someday? It may become more apparent that the Saud's took full advantage. And, became our "partner." Under the table. And, all hush-hush. Because of what obscene things their money can buy.

If you think we're heading out of the woods on Iran/Iraq, I don't think so. Everyone over there is enscounsed in their terrorist-religious war. And, until multitudes die, there's no way you're ever going to get this lunacy repaired.

Well, General Patton (and all great American generals), realized that in wars you have to kill people. And, you have to kill them to the point where they surrender. Or they don't.

While most Americans? Aren't fans of history. And, they're not paying attention.

Still, "attention must be paid," comes around and knocks at your door. (Arthur Miller made a writing career on that line!)

And, I'm not so sure that mistakes haven't been made along the Iran/Iraq corridor, now, for decades. Yup. The CIA, with funding from the Saud's, through BCCI. Pretty much controlled an underhanded agenda.

Do people believe? Like I said, so many don't even pay attention. Still. Ya can't predict the future.

Posted by Bill Faith [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 6, 2007 11:10 PM

These include the abolition of tax on overtime, swingeing cuts in inheritance tax, a law guaranteeing minimum service in transport strikes, and rules to oblige the unemployed to take up offered work.

It'll be interesting to see whether he can force Moroccan taxi drivers to haul seeing-eye dogs and cashiers at Le Target to scan pork chops.

Posted by richard mcenroe | May 6, 2007 11:15 PM

The mood was grim at the Socialist Party headquarters ,,,

I can never get tired of hearing that...

Posted by M. Simon [TypeKey Profile Page] | May 7, 2007 3:11 AM


Minor error:

It is a 35 hour work week.:

Posted by docjim505 | May 7, 2007 11:44 AM

”The left is not credible on so many issues, from the 35-hour working week to immigration and law and order,” says Dominique Reynié, professor at Sciences Po university.

Wait... Are they talking about the left in fwance or the American left???

Cap'n Ed wrote:

In fact, Americans might recall this kind of hysteria. It happened in late 1980, when Ronald Reagan beat Jimmy Carter, and the liberals screeched that the end was nigh for American democracy.

We don't have to go back to 1980 for this kind of hysteria. We get it on a regular basis today. At least the libs then didn't blame Reagan for everything from hurricanes to terrorist attacks as they now blame Bush.

The reaction to Sakozy's election is absolutely predictable, though. Lefties are so intolerant that they simply can't comprehend that people would possibly vote for anybody but them or fail to wholeheartedly embrace their policies. Sarkozy's going to have as much fun dealing with lefty clowns in his country as Bush has had dealing with the loonies here in America. Maybe they should get together and compare notes... assuming the Congress doesn't monopolize Sarkozy for advice on how to surrender.