July 14, 2007

Maybe He's Only Mostly Dead

Osama bin Laden made a big splash today in the media by appearing in his first video in over a year. He looks sprightlier than ever -- but that's because he took off a few years through recycling:

Osama bin Laden stresses the importance of martyrdom for Muslim causes in a videotape that purportedly contains a 50-second message from the al Qaeda leader. ...

The videotape was made in the last four weeks, but the clips appear to be old, said Octavia Nasr, CNN's senior editor for Arab affairs. There is no indication of where it was shot, and CNN cannot verify its authenticity. ...

Bin Laden was one of several men appearing and speaking on the tape. They include Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the leader of al Qaeda in Iraq who was killed in a U.S. airstrike June 7, 2006.

Jihadist websites have been pushing rumors of a new message containing "good news from Osama bin Laden," but if this was it, it fails to impress. Clearly the tape is old; Zarqawi reached thermal equilibrium over a year ago. The backdrops used in the tape resemble those from messages created just before the 9/11 attacks. Unless this is K-Tel's Osama' Greatest Hits package, it's nothing we haven't seen before now.

That doesn't necessarily mean it isn't significant for others, even if Osama appears to have been silenced. The appearance could signal sleeper cells to activate here in the US and around the West. Intel sources have warned that the chatter levels have hit new highs in recent weeks, which may indicate some logistical efforts to stage a new series of attacks. It's certainly something that will get a long look by the CIA and MI-6.

However, one could conclude that Osama has gone on to his 72 virgins. Zawahiri has no trouble making public statements, but Osama has not issued any recordings in over a year -- and this looks like a poor substitute. If that's the best AQ can do, it's suggestive that Osama has joined Zarqawi for whatever reward will come to both terrorists.

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Comments (23)

Posted by burt | July 14, 2007 4:48 PM

Does Osama get 72 virgins? It doesn't appear that he died as a result of jihad even if he died.

Posted by arb | July 14, 2007 5:28 PM

"He's dead, Jim."

Posted by patrick neid | July 14, 2007 5:38 PM

his dna is all over tora bora.

i've said since december 2001, until old bin shows up on the silver screen holding a current issue of his favorite newspaper, the NYTimes, he's dead.

the roswell types can state equally that we wanted him alive as much as they did to gin up war support.

whatever, he's dead a long time now.

Posted by Continuum | July 14, 2007 6:02 PM

OK, where are we at right now.

Is it,

. . . . . "Osama, wanted dead or alive"

.......................or

Is it,

. . . . . "I don't think much about Osama anymore."

I just want to make sure that I know which message Bush and Company are saying this week.

Posted by Fausta | July 14, 2007 6:13 PM

There once was a guy named Osama
who never had washed his pajama.
He got caught in the rain
when he missed his train,
and had to ride home on a llama.

Posted by AnonymousDrivel | July 14, 2007 6:14 PM

OBL gets fifty seconds on a 40-minute video? He must not be polling well in the focus groups. It must be because dead men tell no tales, and the would-be martyrs would certainly need some good tales to convince them death is a virtue of life.

Whatever the message of the video, it should be greeted with some celebration as it indicates yet again that OBL is very likely dead. Perhaps his visage will appear and be reported like "Bigfoot" sightings from now on. Of course, we'd all like the satisfaction of seeing OBL's intact corpse (well, only for the sake of identification and not because we'd like to actually preserve its integrity), but that's guaranteed not to happen.

Posted by Robert Brown | July 14, 2007 6:20 PM

It’s been “I don't think much about Osama anymore.” ever since OBL was neutralized.

It’s the Dumb Democrats who want to send 100,000 troops charging into Pakistan, searching for the corps.

Posted by pavel | July 14, 2007 6:23 PM

Hey, i dont see this video.
Help me please.

Posted by Bill M | July 14, 2007 6:25 PM

pushing rumors of a new message containing "good news from Osama bin Laden,"

Was it "good news from Osama", or just "good news" that they were pushing? I seem to remember that it didn't reference Osama directly.

I think the "good news" they were touting was the successful attacks in London, but oops,that didn't work out so well.

Remember, the tape that did show up was kind of lackluster and certainly didn't live up to it's supposed billing. We may just be seeing a dying organization trying to hype the peons into renewed interest. Certainly trotting out a years old tape of Osama (and if al-Zarqawi is in it, it's over a year old at the least) doesn't inspire a lot of confidence.

As you said, Zawahiri does't sem to have a problem appearing on tape. I'd suspect that the Osama-monster is either at room temperature, or so debilitated by his diabetes that they don't dare show him for fear of appearing "on their last legs." Nothin' turns off the peons like a leader who looks to have one leg in the grave (if not the whole bod - inshalla).

Posted by McGehee | July 14, 2007 6:38 PM

He's not dead, he's pining for the fjords!

Posted by arb | July 14, 2007 6:49 PM

"Have fun storming the castle!"

Posted by snowonpine | July 14, 2007 8:45 PM

I hope his virgins all look like Helen Thomas.

Posted by cdor | July 14, 2007 8:58 PM

very funny!! how about he gets the twins...helen thomas AND madeline albright.

Posted by Mwalimu Daudi | July 14, 2007 9:04 PM

"It is inconceivable that OBL is dead."

-an anonymous Screeching Eel

Posted by Del Dolemonte | July 14, 2007 9:08 PM

Seems to me that if Ozzie wanted to prove he was alive, all he would have to do is hold up a recent newspaper headline in one of his videos.

I've been waiting since 2004 for him to hold up a Boston Globe with the headline "Red Sox Win", but so far no luck.

He's dead, Jim.

Posted by Carol Herman | July 14, 2007 9:25 PM

None of the money that funds this stuff is in a cave in Afghanistan. Or Pakistan. Sorry. The funding's coming from the Saud's. Not just for the terror. But for all the madrasses, where the recruiting is on-going. And, the bastardization of islam, continues under the most vile aucpices.

Does this mean there's gonna be a lot of arabs killing each other? Yup. They're tribal. And, their tribes do not get along.

As to Osama, he became pink spray that spritz all over a cave in Tora Bora. That he's back within the news cycles? Why get surprised. After what Musharraf did to the Red Mosque; there's no going back. And, the Saud's are desperate to regain control. How much time do they have left?

So, like the Queen of England, showing you she can manipulate the BBC; the newsmakers. Who have the evidence on film. She got them to back off, and rewind. Do you know why? The Queen's image can't be sullied with reality.

Flying bullshit is still flying fecal matter. Doesn't change reality. Even if you're brainwashed to believe the crap you see is true.

Meanwhile, years from now, ahead. When people look back; they'll see how TV worked coming into play with John Kennedy, in 1960. And, how by now we're replacing the boob tube with new ways of communicating. Settling on something as old-fashioned as word-of-mouth; when people used to discuss current events with each other, over their backyard fences.

Even if your business depended on TV for sales, that's changed, too.

As to fooling people with Osama? Such a shame.

All this terror, while not as expensive as our own military; doesn't come cheap. And, for that you need to see the cooperation of the banks all over; including in Switzerland. And, you need to see the hands of the Saudis writing the checks.

Posted by Captain Ned | July 14, 2007 9:34 PM

I can tell that my fellow Captain watched lots of TV in the late '70s to mid '80s timeframe, when K-Tel hawked remix albums of greatest hits to the unwary.

As for OBL, I can only hope he's gone the way of the magnificent Norwegian Blue Parrot (i.e. the one that wouldn't go VOOM if you put 50kV through him).

Posted by Ron Beasley | July 14, 2007 11:51 PM

The poor guy has been dead for years but al-Qaeda needs him alive and the Bush/Cheney cabal needs him alive.

Posted by Rick Moran | July 15, 2007 5:10 AM

He's not only mostly dead...

He's really, really sincerely dead.

(HT: Munchkin Coronor)

Posted by Jazz | July 15, 2007 8:46 AM

I'm sick and tired off all this trash talk about the man from you wingers. Sure, his beliefs may be different from yours in some ways, but you owe him the courtesy and respect due to any other...

Hrmm? What's that?

Oh... sorry. I thought this was a link about Barak Obama.

Posted by harleycon5 | July 15, 2007 9:10 AM

I have been saying that OBL is dead for quite some time, and I think you hit the nail on the head, capt'n.

IF OBL were alive his image would be the most powerful recruiting tool that Al Qeada would have. The simple fact that they are using some old footage is indicative of 2 things: OBL is dead, and recruitment is lagging.

I also have noted the govt verfying incredibly poor recordings of the bearded one as a dual pronged plan. First of all, by doing so, they keep him from being a martyr. 2nd, there is always the abillity of the CIA of putting their own "Osama Recording" on the net.

OBL is dead, long let he burn on the coals of hell.

Posted by Bithead | July 15, 2007 11:20 AM

Ed:

I wonder if you're aware, that the film, "The Princess Bride" is 20 years old this week. it's inconceivable that you wouldn't know, given the post title.

Posted by Carl H | July 15, 2007 1:48 PM

Forget it, Jake. It's Waziristanitown.