Captain's Quarters Blog

« Explaining Why We Fight To Our Children, Part V | Main | Telegraph: Kosovo Vote Shows UN Leadership Failure »

October 24, 2004
Blue Hawaii Swinging Red?

The AP reports on a recent poll in Hawaii, usually a slam-dunk blue state, which shows Bush edging ahead of Kerry among likely voters:

The poll of 600 likely voters, conducted October 13-18 for the Honolulu Advertiser newspaper, gave Bush 43.3 percent and Kerry 42.6 percent, with 12 percent saying they were still undecided. The poll had a margin of error of four percentage points.

Hawaii has only four of the 270 electoral votes, awarded state-by-state, needed to win the election. But with a closely fought election battle, even small states have found that their votes could be decisive.

Even more, losing Hawaii could be a bellwether of an Electoral College landslide. Al Gore won Hawaii by a whopping 19 points in 2000, and now two different polls show Bush edging ahead of Kerry this past week. While Hawaii doesn't command a lot of electoral-college impact, its votes equal New Hampshire, considered a strategic state in any election. If Hawaii slips from Kerry's grasp, it's hard to see how he can compete among the previously-identified swing states.

Sphere It Digg! View blog reactions
Posted by Ed Morrissey at October 24, 2004 12:43 PM

Trackback Pings

TrackBack URL for this entry is

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Blue Hawaii Swinging Red?:

» Daily Dish from The Cool Blue Blog
Bush ahead in Hawaii? Look for Kerry to become a Surfer Guy and schedule a speech at Pearl Harbor... Mixing Church and State is long as you're a Democrat. Bob Woodward wants his questions answered, dammit. Oh for the [Read More]

Tracked on October 25, 2004 6:26 AM

Design & Skinning by:
m2 web studios

blog advertising


Proud Ex-Pat Member of the Bear Flag League!